4th Quarter 2016: many promises in 2016, many uncertainties for 2017Following the election of the new president of the United States, Donald Trump in November 2016, some of emerging countries benefited from this election. It is particularly the case of Brazil and Russia. Brazil, the six world economic power* and a raw materials country producer is delighted with this change. The rise in prices of the raw materials is a real advantage for this emergent economic power. Indeed, seventh world producer and exporter of petroleum products, Brazil can benefit from it. Also, the improvement of the contribution to the investment was a striking factor for emerging countries. With interest rate rising, the share price thus became the target of investments. Contrary to Brazil and to Russia, China and Mexico suffer with this victory. We expect an increase of the GDP (Gross Domestic Product) by 0,4 % Brazil for year 2017* (3,6 % in 2016*) showing that this country is experiencing a réal economic recovery.
Source CIC Nord-Ouest C0onjoncture Economique et Boursière – Janv 2017 / *number COFACE